France Faces Historic Election as Far-Right Nears Power
By Boniface Ihiasota, USA
France is in the midst of a landmark parliamentary election that could dramatically reshape its political landscape as the far-right National Rally (RN), led by Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella, is performing strongly in the polls, potentially bringing the party closer to power than ever before in modern times.
Three weeks after their victory in the European elections, the RN is capitalizing on its momentum.
President Emmanuel Macron, in response, called for a national vote, taking the nation by surprise.
With 49 million eligible voters, a high turnout is anticipated, especially in major cities where polls close at 20:00 (18:00 GMT). The two-round election means the final outcome will be determined in a run-off next Sunday for most of the National Assembly’s 577 seats.
The short 20-day campaign period has played to the RN’s advantage. The party has streamlined its promises on immigration, security, and tax cuts to address the cost-of-living crisis.
Bardella, aiming to be RN’s first prime minister, is optimistic about securing numerous constituencies outright in the first round. However, he insists on taking the role only if RN achieves an absolute parliamentary majority of 289 seats. Failure to do so could result in a hung parliament and political stalemate.
As results start to trickle in on Sunday evening, RN’s opponents face the challenge of strategizing their support in run-off contests across France to prevent an RN majority.
Polls suggest a possible three-way battle in up to 250 constituencies, involving RN, Macron’s Ensemble alliance, and the New Popular Front, a left-wing coalition.
Historically, French parties have united against the far right, leading to potential tactical withdrawals to consolidate the anti-RN vote.
Public opinion reflects the divisive nature of the election. Some voters, like Agnès from Franconville, support RN’s policies on national preference for jobs and housing, and education reform. Others, like Aurélie from Le Plessis Bouchard, express concern over RN’s nationalist stance, differentiating patriotism from nationalism.
President Macron’s snap election has not been well-received by all, including some of his allies. The abrupt campaign has disrupted summer plans, with France already preparing for the Paris Olympics starting on July 26.
Security concerns are high, with the interior minister warning of potential post-election violence.
Former President François Hollande, now a candidate for the New Popular Front, has criticized Macron’s strategy, suggesting that Macron’s era may be ending.
Macron’s Ensemble alliance faces a significant loss of seats, and Prime Minister Gabriel Attal’s position appears precarious despite his popularity.
The outcome of this election will have far-reaching implications for France’s political future. As the nation braces for the results, the possibility of an RN-led government looms large, raising questions about France’s direction and unity.
